Mohamed Nekhili discusses Tunisia's economic resilience and inflation paradox amidst IMF growth forecast

Mohamed Nekhili, a university lecturer in banking law, stated that the International Monetary Fund's continued forecast of 2.1% growth for Tunisia in 2026 is a positive sign, despite global geopolitical tensions, rising energy costs, and persistent fragilities in emerging economies. Speaking on Radio Nationale, Nekhili also explained the recent decrease in inflation rates and why households still feel significant pressure on their purchasing power. He noted that the IMF's maintained growth prediction indicates the Tunisian economy's resilience against external factors like regional conflicts, volatile commodity markets, and potential increases in oil and grain prices. This perspective aligns with recent statements from the Governor of the Central Bank of Tunisia, Fethi Zouhaier Nouri, who highlighted the vulnerability of economies exposed to external shocks. Nekhili emphasized Tunisia's sensitivity to energy price fluctuations due to its import dependence, which could worsen the trade deficit and strain external finances. He clarified that a slowdown in inflation means prices are increasing at a slower rate, not decreasing, contributing to public misunderstanding of their eroding purchasing power. Inflationary pressure is particularly evident in everyday consumer goods, especially food, and services like catering and accommodation, while sectors such as clothing and electronics may see stabilization or price reductions. Nekhili called for continued market control efforts and