Libyan security developments and drone use raise concerns for Tunisia, geopolitical analyst Ghazi Moalla warns
Geopolitical analyst Ghazi Moalla, speaking on Jawhara FM on August 12, 2026, expressed concerns about recent security developments in western Libya, particularly the use of drones, and their potential impact on Tunisia. Moalla stated that the use of armed drones, while illegal, is occurring in Libya, possibly by Libyan armed groups or military forces under Libyan authorities. He also suggested the possibility of foreign involvement, noting past incidents where Russian vessels in the Mediterranean were reportedly targeted by drones, with accusations pointing to groups operating from Libyan territory. This could imply the presence of foreign forces in Libya using or supplying such drones, with Moalla specifically mentioning suspicions of a Ukrainian presence in western Libya. This theory suggests Ukrainian groups might be involved in training or supplying arms to local actors, potentially to counter Russian presence in eastern Libya and disrupt Russian fleet activities, including oil transport in the Mediterranean. Another plausible scenario, according to Moalla, is a military campaign by a Libyan faction aiming to expand control over the western region, targeting hostile groups, particularly in Zawiya. Zawiya, located about 100-120 kilometers from the Tunisian border, is strategically important and home to various armed groups. Moalla warned that attempts to seize military control without proper coordination could quickly escalate. He highlighted that a prolonged deterioratio