US CDC warns current Ebola outbreak could reach 2014 West Africa scale without strong public health interventions
via Punch Nigeria2 min read
The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention CDC has urged robust public health interventions to control the current Ebola outbreak, citing models that indicate it could otherwise rival the 2014 West Africa outbreak. That previous outbreak resulted in over 28,000 cases and more than 11,000 deaths. Jason Asher, director of CDC鈥檚 Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics, stated that such a scale is possible. The US projections, part of Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report documents, suggest that the worst outcomes could be avoided if a larger proportion of patients are identified, isolated, and treated. However, the CDC noted that the public health response will likely need to be of similar magnitude to the 2014-2016 West Africa Ebola outbreak. Asher clarified that these models are a planning tool to support action, not to generate alarm. They are based on four intervention scenarios, from poor to extremely high levels of isolation and treatment. If isolation levels are poor with no other interventions, there is a 65 percent chance cases will exceed 20,000 within three months. Satish Pillai, the CDC manager for the Ebola response, indicated that current isolation levels are on the lower end. The World Health Organization and the African Union鈥檚 public health agency also announced that $518 million is needed over the next six months to combat the outbreak in the DR Congo and neighboring countries. The outbreak, declared on May 15 in northeastern DR Congo, involves the
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