Ethiopia's mid-year budget deficit exceeds 90 billion Birr due to surging expenditures
via The Reporter Ethiopia6 min read
Ethiopia's federal government recorded a budget deficit of 93.6 billion Birr in the first half of the 2025/26 fiscal year, according to the Ministry of Finance. This deficit resulted from public spending growing faster than revenue, with expenditures reaching over 798 billion Birr, an 80 percent increase from the previous year. While total revenues and grants rose by 55 percent to nearly 705 billion Birr, primarily from tax revenue, recurrent spending, including civil service salary adjustments, expanded social protection programs, and inflation-related outlays, significantly drove up expenditures. Debt servicing costs, particularly interest payments on domestic debt, also increased by over 250 percent. To cover the deficit, the government relied heavily on domestic borrowing, totaling 139.7 billion Birr. Despite these financial challenges, the Ministry forecasts 10.2 percent GDP growth for 2025/26 and noted improved export performance, driven by gold, which pushed export revenue past five billion dollars. However, import values also grew by 23.3 percent, leading to a widening trade deficit from USD 5.9 billion to USD 6.3 billion.
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This summary was AI-generated from a story originally published by The Reporter Ethiopia.
Ethiopia's Ministry of Finance announced the restoration of daily diesel supply to nine million liters, following a two-month period of reduced volume due to supply disruptions caused by the US-Israeli war in Iran. Fuel trucks have begun transporting diesel from Djibouti to Addis Ababa, with more expected to reach regional towns and cities. This development is anticipated to alleviate the challenges faced by truck and public transport drivers who have experienced long queues at pumping stations. The diesel crisis had previously impacted food and commodity prices, particularly fresh produce, and led to a nearly 17 percent increase in diesel retail prices to 163.09 Bir per liter. Reports also indicated a rise in illicit fuel trade during the disruption. Talks between the US and Iran have stalled after eight weeks of fighting, raising concerns about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Dashen Breweries SC has announced the appointment of Matiyas Getachew as its new Chief Executive Officer. This appointment marks a significant transition as Matiyas becomes the first Ethiopian executive to lead a major brewery in a sector traditionally headed by expatriates. Matiyas joined Dashen in 2020 as Chief Financial Officer and was named acting CEO last year after the departure of Mario Van Geldern. The company elevated him to permanent CEO due to his strong leadership and achievements as CFO during challenging macroeconomic conditions. Matiyas holds a bachelor’s degree from Addis Ababa University’s Commercial College, is a chartered certified accountant, and has a master’s degree from Heriot-Watt University. His international background includes leadership roles at SABMiller, Coca-Cola Beverages Africa, and Diageo. Industry observers note this appointment reflects a broader trend toward local leadership in multinational corporations, with other major players like Coca-Cola and Unilever also recently appointing local CEOs. An industry analyst stated that Matiyas’s appointment shows growing confidence in Ethiopia’s ability to empower homegrown executives to lead large consumer businesses. Dashen Breweries was founded in 2000 by Tiret Corporate, with Duet Group, a UK investment firm, holding a majority stake since 2012.
Must ReadDespite being educated, networked, and aware of grievances, Tigrayan youth and pro-reform elites have struggled to achieve a non-violent transition away from the dominance of TPLF hardliners. This failure is attributed to historical legacies, coercive control, elite fragmentation, war fatigue, external interventions, and survival calculations. The article outlines five interacting factors: historical contingency shaping political identity, the coercive capture of security institutions by hardliners, elite fragmentation co-opting youth energy, war fatigue leading to a preference for stability, and external actors reshaping opportunity structures. A roadmap for non-violent transformation proposes four measures: a verifiable security deconcentration process, inclusive political engineering beyond personality politics, economic stabilization and civic reintegration, and a strategic civic coalition and communication plan. Potential positive scenarios include a managed stalemate evolving into gradual political opening, or a tipping point from successful decentralization of coercive structures. Conversely, negative scenarios include hardliner consolidation, intra-Tigrayan civil war, radicalization of disempowered youth, regional destabilization, and permanent political fragmentation. The article concludes that rekindling confidence among Tigrayan youth and elites requires verifiable, staged changes that reduce existential risks, supported by impartial external facilitation, calibrat
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