
The Ethiopian birr was the weakest currency in sub-Saharan Africa in 2025, according to the World Bank鈥檚 Africa Economic Update. The report indicates the birr lost approximately 18 percent of its value year on year by the end of December 2025. This performance is attributed to sustained foreign exchange pressures and challenges within ongoing foreign exchange market reforms, with a widening gap between official and parallel market rates. The National Bank of Ethiopia has been refining its foreign exchange measures, including raising limits on selected current account transactions, to address market distortions and improve liquidity. In contrast, South Sudan's pound also weakened significantly, primarily due to disruptions in oil production and export routes. While Ethiopia faces currency pressure, its inflation is easing, and export performance remains relatively steady. The country's growth outlook is expected to be supported by agriculture and expanding electricity generation capacity, though geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could impact global energy prices and complicate monetary adjustments.
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Must ReadTewolde Gebremariam, former CEO of Ethiopian Airlines, has been appointed chief executive of Pakistan International Airlines PIA. This appointment follows PIA's recent privatization, with ownership transferred from the Pakistani government to a consortium led by the Arif Habib Group, a local business conglomerate. Gebremariam's career at Ethiopian Airlines spanned nearly four decades, during which he served as CEO for 11 years, overseeing significant growth including quadrupling annual revenue to USD 4.5 billion and expanding the fleet to over 130 aircraft. He retired from Ethiopian Airlines in March 2022 due to personal health reasons. At PIA, Gebremariam is tasked with overseeing growth to a fleet of 65 aircraft and a return to profitability, as the airline has faced major losses, mismanagement, and regulatory issues, including a fatal crash in May 2020 and revelations of pilots with fake licenses.
Must ReadThe National Bank of Ethiopia NBE has removed the credit growth cap for commercial banks, nearly three years after its introduction in August 2023. This decision follows a Monetary Policy Committee meeting, where regulators noted a successful transition to an interest-based policy framework. The cap, initially set at 14 percent to curb inflation, was later adjusted to 18 percent in December 2024 and 24 percent in September 2025. Although inflation has eased due to economic reforms and forex market liberalization from mid-2024, the NBE anticipates continued double-digit headline inflation for the next six months, partly due to the Middle East conflict. In response, the NBE is increasing its policy rate by one percentage point to 16 percent as a counter-tightening measure. Additionally, the central bank is reducing the forex surrender requirement for goods exports from 50 percent to 30 percent to boost export competitiveness and market confidence. The NBE's forex commission rate has also been lowered by one percentage point to 1.5 percent.
Must ReadThe Ethiopian Human Rights Council EHRCO issued an urgent appeal on July 12, 2026, demanding an immediate end to systemic rights violations as a mandatory military recruitment drive sweeps across the northern Tigray region. The Tigray regional council, an entity dissolved under the 2022 Pretoria peace deal and reinstated unilaterally earlier this year, passed a decree on June 24, 2026, mandating compulsory military service and enforcing the death penalty for those who object. EHRCO confirmed that local authorities are using the decree to conduct forced roundups, targeting "youth and children whose age is not even full 18 years." These developments occur amid escalating political and military friction between the Tigray People's Liberation Front TPLF and the federal government. EHRCO observed that the threat of a returning war is triggering widespread panic, forcing "a high number of residents and youth to leave their area and migrate." EHRCO's warning aligns with mounting apprehension from the international community. In its statement, EHRCO said that forced conscription directly violates the constitution and international treaties like the Convention on the Rights of the Child. The body implored both the federal government and the TPLF to de-escalate and "facilitate a condition where it is resolved in a peaceful way by talking around a table." EHRCO stated that the FDRE government must fulfill its constitutional obligation to maintain the peace and security of citizens of th